Friday, June 10, 2005

Hurricane blogging

Well the first tropical storm of the year is in the Gulf. Since
we're now safely 100' above sea level over here west of Houston,
hurricanes don't look half as scary. Half as scary is still enough
to change me into a shaky-handed old woman, so I typically track
hurricanes closer than a pimp tracks his best looking blond Ho.
Which means I use the "where's my money bitch" tracking
technique.

Rather than just watching the weather channel, I also watch
the weatherunderground, not only does the weather underground
show the same tracking info the weather channel has, they also
have the notes of the forecaster under the discussion heading.
they also show the raw results of various computer models,
usually the official forcast agrees with the majority of the models.
But sometimes an outlying model is right. When an outlying model
track runs over your house, it is time to pay attention, even if the
weather channel guys are transmitting from 500 miles away.

The NWS will continue agreeing with the majority of the models
until suddenly a step change occurs and all the models agree with
the outlyer. That happened with Ivan last year, when first one
model then several others shifted track from miami to the gulf
coast. (if you look on the above model link, the BAM model is
aimed around tallahasse, while the other 4 models are headed
toward mobile bay)

So if you live near the coast and especially if you work
offshore, keep a weather eye on your bitches.

Update: I was just poking around some more on the WU website,
and they now have links to blogs of meteorologists.
The amazing thing is they allow comments. Wait until they
get a hurricane forcast wrong, their comments will make the
democratic underground trolls look friendly. Right now it
looks like the most educated set of commenters on the web.




3 Comments:

Blogger kalisekj said...

Cool Blog, I never really thought about it that way.

I have a Hurricane Katrina blog. It pretty much covers hurricane related stuff.

Thank you - and keep up the thoughts!

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